Senior sources in Brussels indicate that the EU is hesitant to reopen Brexit negotiations even if Labour wins the upcoming UK election. While a change in government would be welcomed, the EU’s focus is on more pressing issues such as the war in Ukraine and the rise of the far right.
Labour leader Keir Starmer has ruled out rejoining the customs union or single market but aims to improve relations in various sectors. However, substantial offers from the UK would be required to initiate new talks.
1. No Immediate Brexit Talks
The EU will not rush to reopen Brexit negotiations with the UK even if Labour wins the election.
2. Current EU Priorities
Focus remains on the war in Ukraine and the rise of the far right, with Brexit not being a current priority.
3. UK’s Relevance
EU figures indicate that the UK is not a significant focus at the moment, with more urgent issues taking precedence.
4. Political Capital
Reopening Brexit talks would require significant political resources, which are currently directed elsewhere.
5. Labour’s Stance
Keir Starmer has ruled out rejoining the customs union or single market but aims to improve relations in trade, R&D, defence, security, and education.
6. Potential Negotiation Points
Areas of interest for Labour include carbon pricing, chemical regulation, and a new veterinary agreement.
7. Challenges Ahead
Negotiating these points may involve extensive discussions and may not be immediately attractive to the EU.
8. Expert Opinion
Analysts highlight that the UK is not a priority for the EU and that effective action will require substantial offers from the UK.
9. Changing Dynamics
The rise of the far right in the EU and potential changes in EU leadership may impact future negotiations.
10. Erasmus Program
Rejoining the Erasmus program is seen as a potential goodwill gesture that could improve relations.
